Hedgebook
As of 2026.05.12
KXRECSSNBER-2614.5%14¢ / 15¢KXUSTYLD-30Y26JUN30-T5.3050%0¢ / 100¢KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26MAY-T4.340%39¢ / 41¢KXPAYROLLS-26JUL-T6000054.5%49¢ / 60¢KXNEWOUTBREAK-P-2610.5%10¢ / 11¢KXWTIW-26MAY15-T101.9950%0¢ / 100¢KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-1453.5%51¢ / 56¢KXNGASMAX-26DEC31-P4.5090%81¢ / 99¢KXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T568%64¢ / 72¢KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T418.5%11¢ / 26¢KXH200MON-26MAY31-2.73077%58¢ / 96¢KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN0114.5%14¢ / 15¢
Category note · Company KPI

Existing home sales > 4.00m

Will U.S. existing home sales for May 2026 be above 4.00M?

Resolves on 2026.06.09. The market trades at 57% as of 2026.05.27 — splitting roughly even. Linked to 5 S&P 500 names: DHI, PHM, LEN, NVR, BLDR.

Open on Kalshi
Linked S&P 500
DHID. R. HortonPHMPulteGroupLENLennarNVRNVR, Inc.BLDRBuilders FirstSource
Market map

Referenced companies by sector

5 companies shown · 0 more referenced

Market · Company KPI

Existing home sales > 4.00m

57%Current Kalshi probability
Ticker
KXEHSALES-26JUN09-T4.00
Quote
56¢ / 58¢
Status
Active
Resolution
2026.06.09
As of
Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC

Consumer Discretionary

4 referenced
DHI$40.6BPHM$21.8BLEN$21.1BNVR$15.6B

Industrials

1 referenced
BLDR$7.8B
Companies referenced
DHI

D. R. Horton

D. R. Horton is included because the market references an operating metric tied to its Homebuilding business.

$40.6BOpen company dossier →PHM

PulteGroup

PulteGroup is included because the market references an operating metric tied to its Homebuilding business.

$21.8BOpen company dossier →LEN

Lennar

Lennar is included because the market references an operating metric tied to its Homebuilding business.

$21.1BOpen company dossier →NVR

NVR, Inc.

NVR, Inc. is included because the market references an operating metric tied to its Homebuilding business.

$15.6BOpen company dossier →BLDR

Builders FirstSource

Builders FirstSource is included because the market references an operating metric tied to its Building Products business.

$7.8BOpen company dossier →