WMT · Consumer Staples
Walmart
5 public Kalshi markets tied to Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail exposure.
Public Kalshi markets
01Demand cycle
Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?
Broad demand-cycle marker.
21.5%21¢ / 22¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.31
02Rates
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?
Long-rate and balance-sheet marker.
50.5%3¢ / 98¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2026.06.30
03Tariff escalation
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on July 1, 2026?
China tariff-rate supply-chain marker.
66.5%64¢ / 69¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.07.01
04Inflation
CPI year-over-year for May 2026
Inflation and input-cost marker.
22%18¢ / 26¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.06.10
05Demand cycle
Will more than 60,000 jobs be added in July 2026?
Labor-demand marker.
52.5%47¢ / 58¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.08.07
Exposure context
Walmart's five markets cover trade and supply chain, demand cycle, rates backdrop, and event shocks. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.
Traditional-market contextforeign exchange forwards / optionsinterest-rate swaps / capssupplier contracts / sourcing diversification
Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.