NVDA · Information Technology
Nvidia
5 public Kalshi markets tied to Semiconductors exposure.
Public Kalshi markets
01GPU compute
Will the H200 compute per-hour price be above $2.73 on May 31, 2026?
GPU compute-price event tied to accelerated-compute demand.
50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2026.06.01
02AI model release
Will Anthropic release Mythos before November 1, 2026?
AI model-release event tied to accelerator demand.
48.5%45¢ / 52¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.11.01
05Tariff escalation
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on July 1, 2026?
China tariff-rate supply-chain marker.
66.5%64¢ / 69¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.07.01
03Demand cycle
Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?
Broad demand-cycle marker.
21.5%21¢ / 22¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.31
04Rates
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?
Long-rate and balance-sheet marker.
50.5%3¢ / 98¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2026.06.30
Exposure context
Nvidia's five markets cover company metrics, trade and supply chain, demand cycle, and rates backdrop. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.
Traditional-market contextforeign exchange forwards / optionssingle-name equity optionssector ETF overlays
Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.