MA · Financials
Mastercard
5 public Kalshi markets tied to Transaction & Payment Processing Services exposure.
Public Kalshi markets
01Demand cycle
Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?
Broad demand-cycle marker.
21.5%21¢ / 22¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.31
02Rates
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?
Long-rate and balance-sheet marker.
50.5%3¢ / 98¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTCWide quote2026.06.30
03Public health event
Will there be a pandemic in 2026?
Broad operating-continuity marker.
14.5%14¢ / 15¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2027.01.01
04Inflation
CPI year-over-year for May 2026
Inflation and input-cost marker.
22%18¢ / 26¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.06.10
05Demand cycle
Will more than 60,000 jobs be added in July 2026?
Labor-demand marker.
52.5%47¢ / 58¢Quote as of 2026.05.12 23:30 UTC2026.08.07
Exposure context
Mastercard's five markets are shown as financial-sector context. The page maps public Kalshi event markets to sector and company exposure, not company trading activity.
Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.