LOW · Consumer Discretionary

Lowe's

Public Kalshi markets

01Company KPI

Will U.S. new home sales for April 2026 be above 680,000?

Lowe's is included because the market references an operating metric tied to its Home Improvement Retail business.

46.5%45¢ / 48¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2026.05.28

02Demand cycle

Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?

Lowe's is included because household spending and discretionary demand move with the economic cycle.

14.5%14¢ / 15¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2027.01.31

03Rates

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?

Lowe's is included because long-rate outcomes shape financing costs, valuation backdrop, and capital allocation.

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTCWide quote2026.06.30

04Tariff escalation

Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on July 1, 2026?

Lowe's is included because China tariff policy can affect supplier routing, import costs, and cross-border demand for Home Improvement Retail.

53.5%51¢ / 56¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2026.07.01

05Mortgage Rates

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

Lowe's is included because the market references a public business driver linked to Home Improvement Retail.

61%60¢ / 62¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2027.01.01

Exposure context

Lowe's's five markets cover demand cycle, trade and supply chain, and rates backdrop. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.

Traditional-market context

interest-rate swaps / capssingle-name equity optionssector ETF overlays

Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.