EBAY · Consumer Discretionary

eBay Inc.

Public Kalshi markets

01Demand cycle

Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?

eBay Inc. is included because household spending and discretionary demand move with the economic cycle.

14.5%14¢ / 15¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2027.01.31

02Rates

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?

eBay Inc. is included because long-rate outcomes shape financing costs, valuation backdrop, and capital allocation.

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTCWide quote2026.06.30

03Public health event

Will there be a pandemic in 2026?

eBay Inc. is included because public-health disruptions can affect Broadline Retail demand, staffing, and operating continuity.

10.5%10¢ / 11¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2027.01.01

04Inflation

CPI year-over-year for May 2026

eBay Inc. is included because inflation can affect household demand, wage pressure, and merchandise costs.

40%39¢ / 41¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2026.06.10

05Demand cycle

Will more than 60,000 jobs be added in July 2026?

eBay Inc. is included because household spending and discretionary demand move with the economic cycle.

54.5%49¢ / 60¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2026.08.07

Exposure context

eBay Inc.'s five markets cover demand cycle, rates backdrop, and event shocks. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.

Traditional-market context

single-name equity optionssector ETF overlaysrevenue sensitivity analysis

Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.