Caterpillar Inc.

Public Kalshi markets

Will the copper close above $6.62/lb on May 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Caterpillar Inc. is included because industrial metals prices can affect input costs, project economics, and end-market demand for Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment.

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTCWide quote2026.05.13

02Demand cycle

Will there be a U.S. recession in 2026?

Caterpillar Inc. is included because freight, production, and capital spending move with industrial demand.

14.5%14¢ / 15¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2027.01.31

03Rates

Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury par yield for Q2 2026 be above 5.30%?

Caterpillar Inc. is included because long-rate outcomes shape financing costs, valuation backdrop, and capital allocation.

50%0¢ / 100¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTCWide quote2026.06.30

04Tariff escalation

Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on July 1, 2026?

Caterpillar Inc. is included because China tariff policy can affect supplier routing, import costs, and cross-border demand for Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment.

53.5%51¢ / 56¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2026.07.01

05Inflation

CPI year-over-year for May 2026

Caterpillar Inc. is included because inflation can affect labor, freight, and equipment costs.

40%39¢ / 41¢Quote as of 2026.05.27 02:23 UTC2026.06.10

Exposure context

Caterpillar Inc.'s five markets cover input costs, trade and supply chain, demand cycle, and rates backdrop. The traditional-market references below are context for how investors usually express those exposures; they are not claims about company hedging activity.

Traditional-market context

commodity futures / swaps / optionssupplier pricing contractspass-through mechanisms

Company-level context only, not a claim about trading activity.